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Global Earthquake Forecast

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earthquake forecast

updated 26 March 2020, 8:38 UTC

Two alignments involving Mercury on the 26th and 27th together with critical lunar geometry on the 26th may trigger larger seismic activity in the coming days.

For more information, check out the latest forecast videos and also our social media pages Facebook and Twitter.

magnitude probability
M 6.0-6.4 M 6.5-6.9 M 7.0+
80% 70% 70%



validity of earthquake forecasting

It is often stated that in order for an earthquake forecast to be valid it must define 3 elements: 1) the date and time, 2) the location, and 3) the magnitude. We believe that this requirement is unrealistic for the same reason that a weather forecast is allowed to say that even on the most shiny days there is a 0-10% or 30-40% precipitation PROBABILITY, without specifying the location. This has been valid scientific practice for decades.

Our focus is on earthquakes with approximately magnitude 6 and greater because earthquakes in this category tend to occur more often when planets reach specific positions in the solar system, which explains the usual clustering of these larger earthquakes in time. A good example is December 2016, which was seismically very active because of more critical planetary positions throughout the month, which allowed us to issue three (1, 2, 3) warnings in advance.

While statistics say something about the average occurrence over long periods of time, they do not say anything about the actual occurrence in real time. If for example statistics say that a magnitude 6 earthquake occurs every 2.7 days on average, it doesn't mean that this is what usually happens. In extreme cases there can be 20 or even 25 days between magnitude 6 earthquakes. Likewise, the average can go up to less than 2 days over a period of several weeks. Also, there is a big difference between magnitude 6.0 and 6.9, the latter of which occurs much less frequently. The same applies to magnitude 7 earthquakes. While on average they occur every 20-24 days, in reality we sometimes see two or three in a month, while in extreme cases there can be a drought of half a year or more, like in 2017, 2018 and 2019.

It is also often stated that earthquakes happen all the time or that planetary alignments happen all the time. These kind of statements are also too general. One should ask what kind of earthquakes, like magnitude 4, 5 or 6, which are very different categories, both in strength and occurrence. Likewise, one should carefully study the occurrence and type of planetary alignments. Sometimes there are no alignments for more than a week or even two weeks, like in June 2020. Sometimes there are 12 or even 15 alignments in one month, as was the case in December 2016. Also, not all alignments are the same and their electromagnetic influence greatly depends on the planets involved.

Finally, it is often said that planets have little influence, as the distance between them is too great for the gravitational force to be of significance. While mathematics can be applied to prove that the gravitational force is indeed too weak, the logic behind this reasoning is flawed at the very root, because it does not explain why only the gravitational force between the planets should be considered. After all, of the four fundamental forces currently recognized in nature, gravity is the weakest and always dominated by electromagnetism. In the 1940s, 50s and 60s RCA's radio engineer John H. Nelson proved through observation of short wave radio communication that planetary positions in the solar system greatly affect Earth's atmosphere. Of nearly 1,500 atmospheric condition forecasts that he made in 1967 he had an accuracy rate of 93.2%. His forecast methods, while seemingly forgotten, have not been refuted to date.


Earthquake Reports

  M 6.9 Earthquake Kuril Islands

last updated 17 February 2020, 8:32 UTC

On 13 February 2020 a strong earthquake occurred at the Kuril Islands. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 6.9 occurred at 11:33 UTC.

A quake watch was issued on the 10th because of a convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry late on the 10th and early 11th. Increased seismic activity was anticipated to occur from the 11th to the 13th with an estimated peak magnitude of 6.5 to 7.0. As no larger seismic activity occurred on the 11th and 12th, an additional warning for a "higher 6 to 7 magnitude earthquake" was issued on the 13th - about 4 minutes before the earthquake occurred.

SSGI chart 10-13 February 2020
convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry 10-11 February 2020

  M 7.7 Earthquake Cuba Region

last updated 29 January 2020, 9:18 UTC

On 28 January 2020 a major earthquake occurred in Cuba Region. The tremor occurred at 19:10 UTC and had an estimated moment magnitude of 7.7.

Two days earlier a major earthquake warning was issued because of very critical planetary and lunar geometry on the 26th and 27th, which was expected to end an extended magnitude 7 drought of more than six months. Just as in 2017 and 2018, such a drought was likely to end with a high 7 to 8+ magnitude earthquake. An additional warning specifically for a M 7.7+ earthquake was issued in social media about 24 hours before the major earthquake occurred.

SSGI chart 26-28 January 2020
convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry 26-28 January 2020

  M 6.8 Earthquake Eastern Turkey

last updated 29 January 2020, 08:50 UTC

On 24 January 2020 a strong earthquake occurred in Eastern Turkey. The tremor occurred at 17:55 UTC and had an estimated moment magnitude of 6.8.

Shortly before the earthquake occurred a warning was issued for a possible mid to high 6 magnitude earthquake, also in social media, due to a lunar peak on the same day. The seismic increase occurred a bit sooner than anticipated.

SSGI chart 19-25 January 2020
critical lunar geometry 24 January 2020

  M 6.8 Earthquake Mindanao, Philippines

last updated 17 February 2020, 11:14 UTC

A 6.8 magnitude earthquake occurred in Mindanao, Philippines on 15 December 2019 at 6:11 UTC. It is the fourth strong earthquake in the region in two months. In October three earthquakes between magnitude 6.4 and 6.6 occurred progressively along a strike-slip fault in the direction of Mount Apo.

On 9 December a video was uploaded with a warning because of critical planetary geometry involving three alignments converging around the 11th. In particular the Mercury-Venus-Neptune alignment is considered critical as explained in the video. On 11 December an additional warning was published in social media. While no significant seismic increase occurred from the 11th to the 14th, an additional warning was issued that larger seismic activity could still arrive based on the maximum observed time-window of ~4.5 days.

SSGI chart 10-16 December 2019
critical planetary and lunar geometry 10-16 December 2019

  M 7.1 Earthquake Molucca Sea

last updated 17 February 2020, 11:02 UTC

On 14 November 2019 at 16:17 UTC a major earthquake occurred in the Molucca Sea. The tremor had an estimated moment magnitude 7.1.

On 10 November a warning was issued because of a convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry from 11 to 15 November. The largest seismic activity, potentially one or two magnitude 7 earthquakes, was estimated to occur from the 14th to the 17th.

SSGI chart 10-16 November 2019
critical planetary and lunar geometry 10-16 November 2019

  M 6.6 and 6.5 Earthquakes Mindanao, Philippines

last updated 16 December 2019, 11:44 UTC

A second and third strong earthquake occurred in Mindanao, Philippines on 29 and 31 October 2019 respectively, peaking magnitude 6.6. On the 16th a magnitude 6.4 earthquake occurred along the same fault to the South. The three tremors were followed by a fourth (M 6.8) on 15 December.

A first warning was issued in a video on 25 October that starting on the 28th would become seismically critical, primarily due to Earth's alignment with the Sun and Uranus. Two additional alignments on the 30th preceded the M 6.5 on the 31st.


  M 6.7 Earthquake offshore Maule, Chile

last updated 29 September 2019, 19:59 UTC

A strong earthquake with an estimated moment magnitude 6.7 occurred off the coast of Maule, Chile on 29 September 2019 at 15:57 UTC. A seismic increase was anticipated due to the Venus-Sun-Uranus alignment in combination with a lunar peak.


  M 6.6 Earthquake Seram, Indonesia

last updated 29 September 2019, 15:26 UTC

An earthquake with magnitude 6.6 occurred on 25 September 2019 in Seram, Indonesia. It was the first strong earthquake that could potentially affect human life since August 2.

A warning was issued earlier on the 25th because of an initial atmospheric disturbance, which was followed by a second disturbance hours before the earthquake occurred. See image above.


  M 6.6 Earthquake South Sandwich Islands Region

last updated 29 September 2019, 15:07 UTC

A strong earthquake with magnitude 6.6 occurred at the South Sandwich Islands Region on 27 August 2019. On August 24 an earthquake warning was issued for August 25-28 stating that:

If August's seismic lull is going to end, it will likely be between the 25th and 28th, after Earth lined up with Venus and Mars, while Mars was closely aligned with Mercury and Neptune and Mercury is aligned with the Sun and Saturn, which is always a critical alignment. Seismic activity could potentially go over magnitude 7 in this time-frame.


  M 6.8 Earthquake Southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia

last updated 29 September 2019, 14:44 UTC

On 2 August, 2019 a strong earthquake occurred Southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia. The tremor had an estimated moment magnitude 6.8 and it was the second strong tremor in 18 hours. A quake watch was in effect for August 2-3, but the seismic response to the critical lunar geometry on July 31 appeared to be stronger than anticipated.
It was the first larger (~M6.5+) earthquake of which an atmospheric disturbance was recorded at the Schagen station in the Netherlands. Recording of atmospheric electricity started at this station on August 1, 2019 at 21:27 UTC


  M 6.8 Earthquake Offshore O'Higgins, Chile

last updated 8 August 2019, 8:03 UTC

A strong earthquake that measured 6.8 magnitude, occurred off the coast of O'Higgins, Chile on 1 August 2019 at 18:28 UTC. A quake watch was issued for August 2-3 for possible larger seismic activity, but the magnitude was clearly underestimated.


  M 7.3 Earthquake Halmahera, Indonesia

last updated 31 July 2019, 15:08 UTC

On 14 July 2019 a major earthquake with estimated moment magnitude 7.3 rocked Halmahera, Indonesia. A major earthquake warning was issued on 7 July due to very critical planetary and lunar geometry from 8 to 11 July. While large seismic activity with at least mid 7 magnitude was initially anticipated to occur no later than 10-11 July, the typical seismic lull that usually occurs between the critical geometry and the seismic increase, lasted longer than the common 2-3 days, but within the observed maximum of 4-5 days, which does not happen very often.


  M 6.9 Earthquake Molucca Sea

last updated 31 July 2019, 14:37 UTC

A strong earthquake occurred in the Molucca Sea on 7 July 2019 at 15:08 UTC. The tremor had an estimated moment magnitude 6.9 and followed on the major earthquake in Southern California a day earlier. A warning was issued on 5 July that large seismic activity could occur around the 6th, possibly high 6 to 7 magnitude due to critical lunar geometry peaking 20 on the 4th.


  M 7.1 Earthquake Southern California

last updated 7 July 2019, 12:19 UTC

In Southern California, just North of the Garlock fault a magnitude 7.1 earthquake occurred on 6 July 2019 at 3:19 UTC. It was the largest earthquake to occur in California in 25 years. Two days earlier the same region just Northeast of Ridgecrest was rocked by a magnitude 6.4 earthquake. A warning was issued a day earlier that larger seismic activity, possibly high 6 to 7 magnitude, could occur around the 6th due to very critical lunar geometry that occurred on the 4th.


  M 7.3 Earthquake Banda Sea

last updated 7 July 2019, 12:11 UTC

On 24 June 2019 a major earthquake occurred relatively deep (214 km) under the Banda Sea. The estimated moment magnitude is 7.2-7.3. A warning was issued on the 22nd that the time-frame from the 23rd to the 25th would be critical because of Earth's alignment with Venus and Jupiter.


  M 7.2 Earthquake Kermadec Islands, New Zealand

last updated 7 July 2019, 12:02 UTC

A major earthquake with an estimated magnitude 7.2 occurred in the Kermadec Islands region on 15 June 2019 at 22:54 UTC. A major earthquake warning was issued on the 13th because of critical planetary geometry overlapping between the 14th and 18th whereby Earth was heavily involved. Strong earthquakes also occurred in Chile and Japan.

Recent Earthquakes
M6+ by category:

M 6.1
26 March 2020, 15:38 UTC
Mindanao, Philippines

M 7.5
25 March 2020, 2:49 UTC
East of Kuril Islands

M 8.0
26 May 2019, 7:41 UTC
Peru


The similarity between an electric generator with its carefully placed magnets and the sun with its ever-changing planets is intriguing. In the generator, the magnets are fixed and produce a constant electrical current. If we consider that the planets are magnets and the sun is the armature, we have a considerable similarity to the generator.
- John H. Nelson, RCA
Archive

2019   2018   2017   2016

What is SSGI

The Solar System Geomtry Index (SSGI) is used as an indicator for possible larger seismic activity on Earth. Read the whole story and see examples of large earthquakes in recent history here.

New SSGI Model To Improve Earthquake Forecasting

A new model of the SSGI chart is introduced with version 5.0 of Solpage. Where some earthquakes in the past did not show critical planetary geometry, the new model is aimed at filling these gaps.

So far, the new model looks promising. It will be fine-tuned where necessary to achieve 85 to 90 percent accuracy with forecasting larger earthquakes.

Watch the demonstration video.

Krakatau's Remarkable 45 Years Cycle

Since 1883 Krakatau has been remarkably regular with unusual or heightened activity. Historical data reveals a cycle of about 45 years and also half of that, about 22.5 years. In 2018-2019 we are at another cusp of 45 years.

Watch the video.

Clue to Earthquake Lightning Mystery

Mysterious lightning flashes that appear to precede earthquakes could be sparked by movements in the ground below, US scientists say.

Scientists took a tupperware container filled with flour, tipped it back and forth until cracks appeared and it produced 200 volts of charge. There isn't a mechanism that explains this. It seems new physics. If the same occurs along faultlines, it could generate millions of volts.

Full article

Growing Evidence Planetary Pressure Waves Trigger Earthquakes

A comprehensive 7 minutes video about planetary influences based on electromagnetic waves and radiation pressure, which is in line with what scientists have observed and measured shortly before larger earthquakes. Watch the video.

Earthquake Alarm

Impending earthquakes have been sending us warning signals — and people are starting to listen

Researchers in Taiwan monitored 144 earthquakes between 1997 and 1999, and they found that for those registering 6.0 and higher the electron content of the ionosphere changed significantly one to six days before the earthquakes.

[..] The connection between large earthquakes and electromagnetic phenomena in the ground and in the ionosphere is becoming increasingly solid. Researchers in many countries, including China, France, Greece, Italy, Japan, Taiwan, and the United States, are now contributing to the data by monitoring known earthquake zones. Read full article.

Earthquakes & Electromagnetic Waves

There appears to be a correlation between larger earthquakes - typically over 6 magnitude - and amplified electromagnetic waves in the Solar System.

This video explains in a simple way where these electromagnetic waves come from, when they are being amplified and how it also affects Earth's crust.

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