Global Earthquake Forecast
updated 11 April 2021, 15:38 UTC
| M 6.0-6.4 | M 6.5-6.9 | M 7.0+ |
| 60% | 50% | 40% |
It is often stated that in order for an earthquake forecast to be valid it must define 3 elements: 1) the date and time, 2) the location, and 3) the magnitude. We believe that this requirement is unrealistic for the same reason that a weather forecast is allowed to say that even on the most shiny days there is a 0-10% or 30-40% precipitation PROBABILITY, without specifying the precise location. This has been valid scientific practice for decades.
Our focus is on earthquakes with approximately magnitude 6 and greater because earthquakes in this category tend to occur more often when planets reach specific positions in the solar system, which explains the usual clustering of these larger earthquakes in time. A good example is December 2016, which was seismically very active because of more critical planetary positions throughout the month, which allowed us to issue three warnings in advance.
While statistics say something about the average occurrence over long periods of time, they do not say anything about the actual occurrence in real time. If for example statistics say that a magnitude 6 earthquake occurs every 2.7 days on average, it does not mean that this is what usually happens. In extreme cases there can be 20 or even 25 days between magnitude 6 earthquakes. Likewise, the average can go up to less than 2 days over a period of several weeks. In addition, there is a big difference between magnitude 6.0 and 6.9, the latter of which occurs much less frequently. The same applies to magnitude 7 earthquakes. While on average they occur every 20-24 days, in reality we sometimes see two or three in a month, while in extreme cases there can be a drought of half a year or more, like in 2017, 2018 and 2019.
It is often stated that earthquakes happen all the time
or that planetary alignments happen all the time.
These kind of statements are too general. One should ask what kind of earthquakes, like magnitude 4, 5 or 6, which are very different categories, both in strength and occurrence. Likewise, one should carefully study the occurrence and type of planetary alignments. Sometimes there are no alignments for more than a week or even two weeks. Sometimes there are 12 or even 15 alignments in one month, as was the case in December 2016. Also, not all alignments are the same and their electromagnetic influence greatly depends on the planets involved.
Finally, it is often said that planets have little influence, as the distance between them is too great for the gravitational force to be of significance. While mathematics can be applied to prove that the gravitational force is indeed (too) weak, the logic behind this reasoning is flawed at the very root, because it does not explain why only the gravitational force between the planets should be considered. After all, of the four fundamental forces currently recognized in nature, gravity is the weakest and usually dominated by the electromagnetic force. In the 1940s, 50s and 60s RCA's radio engineer John H. Nelson proved through observation of short wave radio communication that planetary positions in the solar system greatly affect Earth's atmosphere. Of nearly 1,500 atmospheric condition forecasts that he made in 1967 he had an accuracy rate of 93.2%. His forecast methods, while seemingly forgotten, have not been refuted to date.
M 7.0 earthquake Dodecanese Islands, Greece / Turkey
3 November 2020
On 30 October 2020 a major earthquake occurred near the Greek island Samos, off the West coast of Turkey. The tremor had an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 7.0 and occurred at 11:51 UTC. The Turkish city Izmir in particular was hit by the earthquake. Several buildings collapsed and dozens of people were killed.
It was the second M 7 earthquake in two weeks, seismic activity that was anticipated due to 13 planetary alignments from 12 to 27 October. The earthquake occurred less than three days after Venus lined up with Jupiter and Saturn, an alignment that had not occurred since April 2000. In addition, warnings were issued for Turkey, Greece and Italy because the respective longitudes were marked by electrical fluctuations in the atmosphere days earlier.
M 7.5 earthquake South of Alaska
last updated 23 October 2020
On 19 October 2020 a major earthquake occurred South of Alaska. The tremor had an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 7.5 and occurred at 20:54 UTC.
An earthquake warning was in effect for 18-20 October due to very critical planetary geometry involving Neptune and the inner planets Mercury, Venus and Earth on the 17th and 18th. In addition, the Moon had specific geometry (LSG) with Venus and Neptune on the 18th, several hours after Earth lined up with the two planets. Due to the convergence of this planetary and lunar geometry, it was estimated that seismic activity could potentially reach magnitude 7.5 to 8.0+
M 6.7 earthquake Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge
last updated 23 October 2020
A strong earthquake occurred on the Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge on 18 September 2020 at 21:43 UTC. The estimated moment magnitude is 6.7.
No critical planetary geometry occurred prior to this earthquake. Lunar geometry prior to the earthquake was similar to that of 20 August, prior to the deep M 6.9 earthquake under the Banda Sea, i.e. 135° with Mars and Saturn.
M 6.6 earthquake Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge
last updated 23 October 2020 UTC
A strong earthquake occurred on the Central Mid-Atlantic ridge on 6 September 2020 at 06:51 UTC. The estimated moment magnitude is 6.6.
Critical planetary geometry involving Mercury and Uranus occurred on the 4th and 5th almost 24 hours apart, while the Moon made a 45° angle with Uranus and Neptune. About 3 hours before the tremor, the Moon aligned with Mars, which may have been too short a time to be of sufficient influence.
M 6.8 earthquake Atacama, Chile
last updated 23 October 2020 UTC
On 1 September 2020 a strong earthquake occurred in Atacama, Chile. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 6.8 occurred at 4:09 UTC.
Two days earlier Earth lined up with Mercury and Neptune, while lunar geometry was critical from the 29th.
M 6.9 earthquake Banda Sea
last updated 23 October 2020 UTC
A strong earthquake measuring magnitude 6.9 occurred deep below the Banda Sea on 21 August 2020 at 04:09 UTC. The tremor occurred inside the asthenosphere at a depth of approximately 643 kilometers.
There was no critical planetary geometry prior to this earthquake. The lunar peak late on the 19th, early 20th was critical in that the Moon made a 135° angle with both Mars and Saturn within about 2 hours, followed by the Moon's alignment with Neptune later on the same day.
M 6.6, M 6.8, M 6.9 earthquakes Philippines and Sumatra
last updated 23 October 2020 UTC
Three strong earthquakes occurred on 18 August 2020 ranging from magnitude 6.6 to 6.9. The first tremor with magnitude 6.6 occurred in Samar, Philippines at 00:03 UTC. The second and third with magnitude 6.8 and 6.9 respectively, occurred in South Sumatra at 22:23 and 22:29 UTC.
On 12 August the first critical planetary geometry formed and peaked early on the 14th with the highly ciritcal Mercury-Venus-Neptune alignment. However, this did not cause the anticipated larger seismic activity on the 15th or 16th, as first anticipated.
M 7.8 earthquake Alaska Peninsula
last updated 9 August 2020 UTC
On 22 July 2020 at 6:12 UTC a major earthquake occurred in the Alaska Peninsula region. The earthquake had an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) of 7.8.
Warnings were issued as early as 19 July on the website, on Youtube and also on Twitter and Facebook because of a critical convergence of planetary and lunar geometry around the 20th, which was estimated to trigger larger seismic activity, potentially reaching mid to high 7 magnitude.
M 7.0 Eastern New Guinea Region
last updated 9 August 2020 UTC
On 17 July 2020 a major earthquake occurred in Eastern New Guinea. The tremor occurred at 02:50 UTC and had an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) of 7.0.
The earthquake occurred about three days after critical planetary geometry occurred in the solar system, which was estimated to potentially trigger larger seismic activity, possibly reaching magnitude 7 in the following three days.
In April 2020 we explained in a video that the positions of the outer planets were causing increasingly higher lunar peaks (LG). These peaks reached their maximum in the first three weeks of June. An additional warning was issued on 25 May.
M 7.3 Oaxaca, Mexico
last updated 30 June 2020 UTC
On 23 June 2020 a major earthquake occurred in Oaxaca, Mexico. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 7.3 occurred at 15:29 UTC.
On 25 May a warning was issued that there would be exceptionally high lunar peaks in the first three weeks of June. Unfortunately, a series of high peaks like these makes it impossible to isolate the usual three days time-frames. Lunar geometry involving Mars and Neptune dominated the third week of June. Of note is that after this major earthquake lunar peaks went down.
M 7.4 South of Kermadec Islands
last updated 30 June 2020
On 18 June 2020 a major earthquake occurred South of the Kermadec Islands. The tremor had an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 7.4 and occurred at 12:49 UTC.
On 25 May a warning was issued that there would be exceptionally high lunar peaks in the first three weeks of June. Unfortunately, a series of high peaks like these makes it impossible to isolate the usual three days time-frames. Lunar geometry involving Mars and Neptune dominated the third week of June.
M 6.7 Ryukyu Islands, Japan
last updated 30 June 2020
On 13 June 2020 a strong earthquake occurred at the Ryukyu Islands, Japan. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 6.7 occurred at 15:51 UTC. It was the second strong earthquake in the first three weeks of June.
On 25 May a warning was issued that there would be exceptionally high lunar peaks in the first three weeks of June. A series of high peaks like these makes it practically impossible to isolate three days time-frames.
M 6.8 Earthquake Antofagasta, Chile
last updated 30 June 2020
On 3 June 2020 a strong earthquake occurred in Antofagasta, Chile. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 6.8 occurred at 7:35 UTC.
On 25 May a warning was issued that there would be exceptionally high lunar peaks in the first three weeks of June. A series of high peaks like these makes it practically impossible to isolate three days time-frames.
M 6.8 Earthquake Banda Sea
last updated 13 May 2020
On 6 May 2020 a strong earthquake occurred beneath the Banda Sea. The tremor had an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 6.8 and occurred early in the afternoon at 13:53 UTC.
In the forecast video from 30 April the first week of May was expected to be more critical due to multiple alignments converging, all of which involved Mercury. Seismic activity of Mid to high 6 magnitude was anticipated following both the alignments around 30 April and also 4 to 6 May. The M 6.8 earthquake on the 6th was preceded by a M 6.6 on the 2nd near Crete, Greece. An additional M 6.1 earthquake occurred on the 7th.
No M 6+ earthquakes occurred from the 8th to the 11th. On the 12th a M 6.6 earthquake occurred at the Santa Cruz Islands, which followed on the Venus-Sun-Uranus alignment a day earlier. The last time this alignment occurred was on 28 September 2019. A day later (29 September) a M 6.7 earthquake occurred near the coast of Central Chile.
M 7.5 Earthquake East of Kuril Islands
last updated 13 May 2020
On 25 March 2020 a major earthquake occurred East of the Kuril Islands. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 7.5 occurred at 02:49 UTC.
On the 21st a quake watch was issued with emphasis on the 23rd and 24th because of two planetary alignments on the 20th and 21st, both involving Jupiter. Although mid to high 6 magnitude was anticipated, the possibility of M 7 was not excluded, as stated in the forecast video.
M 6.9 Earthquake Kuril Islands
last updated 17 February 2020, 8:32 UTC
On 13 February 2020 a strong earthquake occurred at the Kuril Islands. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 6.9 occurred at 11:33 UTC.
A quake watch was issued on the 10th because of a convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry late on the 10th and early 11th. Increased seismic activity was anticipated to occur from the 11th to the 13th with an estimated peak magnitude of 6.5 to 7.0. As no larger seismic activity occurred on the 11th and 12th, an additional warning for a "higher 6 to 7 magnitude earthquake" was issued on the 13th - about 4 minutes before the earthquake occurred.
M 7.7 Earthquake Cuba Region
last updated 29 January 2020, 9:18 UTC
On 28 January 2020 a major earthquake occurred in Cuba Region. The tremor occurred at 19:10 UTC and had an estimated moment magnitude of 7.7.
Two days earlier a major earthquake warning was issued because of very critical planetary and lunar geometry on the 26th and 27th, which was expected to end an extended magnitude 7 drought of more than six months. Just as in 2017 and 2018, such a drought was likely to end with a high 7 to 8+ magnitude earthquake. An additional warning specifically for a M 7.7+ earthquake was issued in social media about 24 hours before the major earthquake occurred.
M 6.8 Earthquake Eastern Turkey
last updated 29 January 2020, 08:50 UTC
On 24 January 2020 a strong earthquake occurred in Eastern Turkey. The tremor occurred at 17:55 UTC and had an estimated moment magnitude of 6.8.
Shortly before the earthquake occurred a warning was issued for a possible mid to high 6 magnitude earthquake, also in social media, due to a lunar peak on the same day. The seismic increase occurred a bit sooner than anticipated.
M 6.1
10 April 2021, 11:38:33 UTC
Near North Coast of New Guinea
depth: 10 km
M 7.0
20 March 2021, 09:09:45 UTC
Near East Coast of Honshu, Japan
depth: 44 km
M 8.0
4 March 2021, 19:28:35 UTC
Kermadec Islands Region
depth: 24 km
The similarity between an electric generator with its carefully placed magnets and the sun with its ever-changing planets is intriguing. In the generator, the magnets are fixed and produce a constant electrical current. If we consider that the planets are magnets and the sun is the armature, we have a considerable similarity to the generator.
The Solar System Geometry Index (SSGI) is used as an indicator for possible larger seismic activity on Earth. Read the whole story and see examples of large earthquakes in recent history here.
A new model of the SSGI chart is introduced with version 5.0 of Solpage. Where some earthquakes in the past did not show critical planetary geometry, the new model is aimed at filling these gaps.
So far, the new model looks promising. It will be fine-tuned where necessary to achieve 85 to 90 percent accuracy with forecasting larger earthquakes.
Watch the demonstration video.
Since 1883 Krakatau has been remarkably regular with unusual or heightened activity. Historical data reveals a cycle of about 45 years and also half of that, about 22.5 years. 2018-2019 marked one such cusp of 45 years.
Watch the video.
Mysterious lightning flashes that appear to precede earthquakes could be sparked by movements in the ground below, US scientists say.
Scientists took a tupperware container filled with flour, tipped it back and forth until cracks appeared and it produced 200 volts of charge. There isn't a mechanism that explains this. It seems new physics. If the same occurs along faultlines, it could generate millions of volts.
Full article
A comprehensive 7 minutes video about planetary influences based on electromagnetic waves and radiation pressure, which is in line with what scientists have observed and measured shortly before larger earthquakes. Watch the video.
Impending earthquakes have been sending us warning signals — and people are starting to listen
Researchers in Taiwan monitored 144 earthquakes between 1997 and 1999, and they found that for those registering 6.0 and higher the electron content of the ionosphere changed significantly one to six days before the earthquakes.
[..] The connection between large earthquakes and electromagnetic phenomena in the ground and in the ionosphere is becoming increasingly solid. Researchers in many countries, including China, France, Greece, Italy, Japan, Taiwan, and the United States, are now contributing to the data by monitoring known earthquake zones. Read full article.
There appears to be a correlation between larger earthquakes - typically over 6 magnitude - and amplified electromagnetic waves in the Solar System.
This video explains in a simple way where these electromagnetic waves come from, when they are being amplified and how it also affects Earth's crust.
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