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Global Earthquake Forecast

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earthquake forecast

updated 02 August 2020, 7:47 UTC

Planetary alignments on the 2nd and 3rd are likely to trigger larger seismic activity in the next few days, possibly reaching mid 7 magnitude.

For more information, check out the latest forecast videos and also our social media pages Facebook and Twitter.

magnitude probability
M 6.0-6.4 M 6.5-6.9 M 7.0+
80% 80% 70%



Critical Lunar Geometry in June 2020

In April 2020 we explained in a video that the positions of the outer planets were causing increasingly higher lunar peaks (LG). These peaks reached their maximum in the first three weeks of June. An additional warning was issued on 25 May.

critical lunar peaks June 2020
critical lunar peaks in the first three weeks of June 2020

validity of earthquake forecasting

It is often stated that in order for an earthquake forecast to be valid it must define 3 elements: 1) the date and time, 2) the location, and 3) the magnitude. We believe that this requirement is unrealistic for the same reason that a weather forecast is allowed to say that even on the most shiny days there is a 0-10% or 30-40% precipitation PROBABILITY, without specifying the location. This has been valid scientific practice for decades.

Our focus is on earthquakes with approximately magnitude 6 and greater because earthquakes in this category tend to occur more often when planets reach specific positions in the solar system, which explains the usual clustering of these larger earthquakes in time. A good example is December 2016, which was seismically very active because of more critical planetary positions throughout the month, which allowed us to issue three (1, 2, 3) warnings in advance.

While statistics say something about the average occurrence over long periods of time, they do not say anything about the actual occurrence in real time. If for example statistics say that a magnitude 6 earthquake occurs every 2.7 days on average, it does not mean that this is what usually happens. In extreme cases there can be 20 or even 25 days between magnitude 6 earthquakes. Likewise, the average can go up to less than 2 days over a period of several weeks. In addition, there is a big difference between magnitude 6.0 and 6.9, the latter of which occurs much less frequently. The same applies to magnitude 7 earthquakes. While on average they occur every 20-24 days, in reality we sometimes see two or three in a month, while in extreme cases there can be a drought of half a year or more, like in 2017, 2018 and 2019.

It is often stated that earthquakes happen all the time or that planetary alignments happen all the time. These kind of statements are too general. One should ask what kind of earthquakes, like magnitude 4, 5 or 6, which are very different categories, both in strength and occurrence. Likewise, one should carefully study the occurrence and type of planetary alignments. Sometimes there are no alignments for more than a week or even two weeks. Sometimes there are 12 or even 15 alignments in one month, as was the case in December 2016. Also, not all alignments are the same and their electromagnetic influence greatly depends on the planets involved.

Finally, it is often said that planets have little influence, as the distance between them is too great for the gravitational force to be of significance. While mathematics can be applied to prove that the gravitational force is indeed (too) weak, the logic behind this reasoning is flawed at the very root, because it does not explain why only the gravitational force between the planets should be considered. After all, of the four fundamental forces currently recognized in nature, gravity is the weakest and usually dominated by the electromagnetic force. In the 1940s, 50s and 60s RCA's radio engineer John H. Nelson proved through observation of short wave radio communication that planetary positions in the solar system greatly affect Earth's atmosphere. Of nearly 1,500 atmospheric condition forecasts that he made in 1967 he had an accuracy rate of 93.2%. His forecast methods, while seemingly forgotten, have not been refuted to date.


Earthquake Reports

  M 7.3 Oaxaca, Mexico

last updated 30 June 2020 UTC

On 23 June 2020 a major earthquake occurred in Oaxaca, Mexico. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 7.3 occurred at 15:29 UTC.

On 25 May a warning was issued that there would be exceptionally high lunar peaks in the first three weeks of June. Unfortunately, a series of high peaks like these makes it impossible to isolate the usual three days time-frames. Lunar geometry involving Mars and Neptune dominated the third week of June. Of note is that after this major earthquake lunar peaks went down.

SSGI chart 18-24 June 2020
fourth strong earthquake due to critical lunar geometry in June 2020.

atmospheric electricity
atmospheric electricity went predominantly into a 5 mV band 35 hours earlier

  M 7.4 South of Kermadec Islands

last updated 30 June 2020

On 18 June 2020 a major earthquake occurred South of the Kermadec Islands. The tremor had an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 7.4 and occurred at 12:49 UTC.

On 25 May a warning was issued that there would be exceptionally high lunar peaks in the first three weeks of June. Unfortunately, a series of high peaks like these makes it impossible to isolate the usual three days time-frames. Lunar geometry involving Mars and Neptune dominated the third week of June.

SSGI chart 13-19 June 2020
third strong earthquake due to critical lunar geometry in June 2020.

atmospheric electricity
atmospheric electricity went into a 5 mV band 32 hours earlier

  M 6.7 Ryukyu Islands, Japan

last updated 30 June 2020

On 13 June 2020 a strong earthquake occurred at the Ryukyu Islands, Japan. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 6.7 occurred at 15:51 UTC. It was the second strong earthquake in the first three weeks of June.

On 25 May a warning was issued that there would be exceptionally high lunar peaks in the first three weeks of June. A series of high peaks like these makes it practically impossible to isolate three days time-frames.

SSGI chart 8-14 June 2020
second strong earthquake due to critical lunar geometry in June 2020.

  M 6.8 Earthquake Antofagasta, Chile

last updated 30 June 2020

On 3 June 2020 a strong earthquake occurred in Antofagasta, Chile. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 6.8 occurred at 7:35 UTC.

On 25 May a warning was issued that there would be exceptionally high lunar peaks in the first three weeks of June. A series of high peaks like these makes it practically impossible to isolate three days time-frames.

SSGI chart 29 May - 4 June 2020
second strong earthquake due to critical lunar geometry in June 2020.

  M 6.8 Earthquake Banda Sea

last updated 13 May 2020

On 6 May 2020 a strong earthquake occurred beneath the Banda Sea. The tremor had an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 6.8 and occurred early in the afternoon at 13:53 UTC.

In the forecast video from 30 April the first week of May was expected to be more critical due to multiple alignments converging, all of which involved Mercury. Seismic activity of Mid to high 6 magnitude was anticipated following both the alignments around 30 April and also 4 to 6 May. The M 6.8 earthquake on the 6th was preceded by a M 6.6 on the 2nd near Crete, Greece. An additional M 6.1 earthquake occurred on the 7th.

No M 6+ earthquakes occurred from the 8th to the 11th. On the 12th a M 6.6 earthquake occurred at the Santa Cruz Islands, which followed on the Venus-Sun-Uranus alignment a day earlier. The last time this alignment occurred was on 28 September 2019. A day later (29 September) a M 6.7 earthquake occurred near the coast of Central Chile.

SSGI chart 1-6 May 2020
convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry 3-6 May 2020

  M 7.5 Earthquake East of Kuril Islands

last updated 13 May 2020

On 25 March 2020 a major earthquake occurred East of the Kuril Islands. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 7.5 occurred at 02:49 UTC.

On the 21st a quake watch was issued with emphasis on the 23rd and 24th because of two planetary alignments on the 20th and 21st, both involving Jupiter. Although mid to high 6 magnitude was anticipated, the possibility of M 7 was not excluded, as stated in the forecast video.

SSGI chart 19-25 March 2020
convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry 20-21 March 2020

  M 6.9 Earthquake Kuril Islands

last updated 17 February 2020, 8:32 UTC

On 13 February 2020 a strong earthquake occurred at the Kuril Islands. The tremor with an estimated moment magnitude (Mw) 6.9 occurred at 11:33 UTC.

A quake watch was issued on the 10th because of a convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry late on the 10th and early 11th. Increased seismic activity was anticipated to occur from the 11th to the 13th with an estimated peak magnitude of 6.5 to 7.0. As no larger seismic activity occurred on the 11th and 12th, an additional warning for a "higher 6 to 7 magnitude earthquake" was issued on the 13th - about 4 minutes before the earthquake occurred.

SSGI chart 10-13 February 2020
convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry 10-11 February 2020

  M 7.7 Earthquake Cuba Region

last updated 29 January 2020, 9:18 UTC

On 28 January 2020 a major earthquake occurred in Cuba Region. The tremor occurred at 19:10 UTC and had an estimated moment magnitude of 7.7.

Two days earlier a major earthquake warning was issued because of very critical planetary and lunar geometry on the 26th and 27th, which was expected to end an extended magnitude 7 drought of more than six months. Just as in 2017 and 2018, such a drought was likely to end with a high 7 to 8+ magnitude earthquake. An additional warning specifically for a M 7.7+ earthquake was issued in social media about 24 hours before the major earthquake occurred.

SSGI chart 26-28 January 2020
convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry 26-28 January 2020

  M 6.8 Earthquake Eastern Turkey

last updated 29 January 2020, 08:50 UTC

On 24 January 2020 a strong earthquake occurred in Eastern Turkey. The tremor occurred at 17:55 UTC and had an estimated moment magnitude of 6.8.

Shortly before the earthquake occurred a warning was issued for a possible mid to high 6 magnitude earthquake, also in social media, due to a lunar peak on the same day. The seismic increase occurred a bit sooner than anticipated.

SSGI chart 19-25 January 2020
critical lunar geometry 24 January 2020

  M 6.8 Earthquake Mindanao, Philippines

last updated 17 February 2020, 11:14 UTC

A 6.8 magnitude earthquake occurred in Mindanao, Philippines on 15 December 2019 at 6:11 UTC. It is the fourth strong earthquake in the region in two months. In October three earthquakes between magnitude 6.4 and 6.6 occurred progressively along a strike-slip fault in the direction of Mount Apo.

On 9 December a video was uploaded with a warning because of critical planetary geometry involving three alignments converging around the 11th. In particular the Mercury-Venus-Neptune alignment is considered critical as explained in the video. On 11 December an additional warning was published in social media. While no significant seismic increase occurred from the 11th to the 14th, an additional warning was issued that larger seismic activity could still arrive based on the maximum observed time-window of ~4.5 days.

SSGI chart 10-16 December 2019
critical planetary and lunar geometry 10-16 December 2019

  M 7.1 Earthquake Molucca Sea

last updated 17 February 2020, 11:02 UTC

On 14 November 2019 at 16:17 UTC a major earthquake occurred in the Molucca Sea. The tremor had an estimated moment magnitude 7.1.

On 10 November a warning was issued because of a convergence of critical planetary and lunar geometry from 11 to 15 November. The largest seismic activity, potentially one or two magnitude 7 earthquakes, was estimated to occur from the 14th to the 17th.

SSGI chart 10-16 November 2019
critical planetary and lunar geometry 10-16 November 2019

  M 7.1 Earthquake Southern California

last updated 7 July 2019, 12:19 UTC

In Southern California, just North of the Garlock fault a magnitude 7.1 earthquake occurred on 6 July 2019 at 3:19 UTC. It was the largest earthquake to occur in California in 25 years. Two days earlier the same region just Northeast of Ridgecrest was rocked by a magnitude 6.4 earthquake. A warning was issued a day earlier that larger seismic activity, possibly high 6 to 7 magnitude, could occur around the 6th due to very critical lunar geometry that occurred on the 4th.

SSGI chart 1-7 July 2019
critical planetary and lunar geometry 4 July 2019

Recent Earthquakes
M6+ by category:

Mw 6.0
1 August 2020, 19:22 UTC
Bismarck Sea

Mw 7.8
22 July 2020, 6:12 UTC
Alaska Peninsula

Mw 8.0
26 May 2019, 7:41 UTC
Peru

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The similarity between an electric generator with its carefully placed magnets and the sun with its ever-changing planets is intriguing. In the generator, the magnets are fixed and produce a constant electrical current. If we consider that the planets are magnets and the sun is the armature, we have a considerable similarity to the generator.
- John H. Nelson, RCA
Archive

2019   2018   2017   2016

What is SSGI

The Solar System Geomtry Index (SSGI) is used as an indicator for possible larger seismic activity on Earth. Read the whole story and see examples of large earthquakes in recent history here.

New SSGI Model To Improve Earthquake Forecasting

A new model of the SSGI chart is introduced with version 5.0 of Solpage. Where some earthquakes in the past did not show critical planetary geometry, the new model is aimed at filling these gaps.

So far, the new model looks promising. It will be fine-tuned where necessary to achieve 85 to 90 percent accuracy with forecasting larger earthquakes.

Watch the demonstration video.

Krakatau's Remarkable 45 Years Cycle

Since 1883 Krakatau has been remarkably regular with unusual or heightened activity. Historical data reveals a cycle of about 45 years and also half of that, about 22.5 years. In 2018-2019 we are at another cusp of 45 years.

Watch the video.

Clue to Earthquake Lightning Mystery

Mysterious lightning flashes that appear to precede earthquakes could be sparked by movements in the ground below, US scientists say.

Scientists took a tupperware container filled with flour, tipped it back and forth until cracks appeared and it produced 200 volts of charge. There isn't a mechanism that explains this. It seems new physics. If the same occurs along faultlines, it could generate millions of volts.

Full article

Growing Evidence Planetary Pressure Waves Trigger Earthquakes

A comprehensive 7 minutes video about planetary influences based on electromagnetic waves and radiation pressure, which is in line with what scientists have observed and measured shortly before larger earthquakes. Watch the video.

Earthquake Alarm

Impending earthquakes have been sending us warning signals — and people are starting to listen

Researchers in Taiwan monitored 144 earthquakes between 1997 and 1999, and they found that for those registering 6.0 and higher the electron content of the ionosphere changed significantly one to six days before the earthquakes.

[..] The connection between large earthquakes and electromagnetic phenomena in the ground and in the ionosphere is becoming increasingly solid. Researchers in many countries, including China, France, Greece, Italy, Japan, Taiwan, and the United States, are now contributing to the data by monitoring known earthquake zones. Read full article.

Earthquakes & Electromagnetic Waves

There appears to be a correlation between larger earthquakes - typically over 6 magnitude - and amplified electromagnetic waves in the Solar System.

This video explains in a simple way where these electromagnetic waves come from, when they are being amplified and how it also affects Earth's crust.

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