Global Earthquake Forecast
The seismic indicator is an experimental service and is not expected to run with 100% accuracy. The set magnitude range may indicate a worst-case scenario. See the latest forecast for more details.
M0.0 - M6.0
A comprehensive 7 minutes video about planetary influences based on electromagnetic waves and radiation pressure, which is in line with what scientists have observed and measured shortly before larger earthquakes. Watch the video.
Impending earthquakes have been sending us warning signals — and people are starting to listen
Researchers in Taiwan monitored 144 earthquakes between 1997 and 1999, and they found that for those registering 6.0 and higher the electron content of the ionosphere changed significantly one to six days before the earthquakes.
[..] The connection between large earthquakes and electromagnetic phenomena in the ground and in the ionosphere is becoming increasingly solid. Researchers in many countries, including China, France, Greece, Italy, Japan, Taiwan, and the United States, are now contributing to the data by monitoring known earthquake zones. Read full article.
There appears to be a correlation between larger earthquakes - typically over 6 magnitude - and amplified electromagnetic waves in the Solar System.
This video explains in a simple way where these electromagnetic waves come from, when they are being amplified and how it also affects Earth's crust.
The Solar System Geomtry Index (SSGI) is used as an indicator for possible larger seismic activity on Earth. Read the whole story and see examples of large earthquakes in recent history here.
A new model of the SSGI chart is introduced with version 5.0 of Solpage. Where some earthquakes in the past did not show critical planetary geometry, the new model is aimed at filling these gaps.
So far, the new model looks promising. It will be fine-tuned where necessary to achieve 85 to 90 percent accuracy with forecasting larger earthquakes.
Watch the demonstration video.
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updated 18 March 2019, 6:08 UTC
Large earthquakes are not expected.
See also the latest video updates.
updated 7 February 2019, 18:04 UTC
In June, July and August 2018 three warnings were posted on Twitter based on a specific SSGI graph that indicates a high probability of large seismic activity in the next 18 months (counted from June 2018). We have reason to believe that this particular graph could apply to North America.
A comprehensive 7 minutes video about planetary influences based on electromagnetic waves and radiation pressure, which is in line with what scientists have observed and measured shortly before larger earthquakes.
last updated 1 March, 2019, 11:13 UTC
A magnitude 7.0 earthquake occurred in Central Peru on 1 March 2019 at 8:50 UTC. With 257km the earthquake struck relatively deep. A quake watch was in effect on February 28 and March 1 because of critical lunar geometry on February 27 as discussed in the previous quake watch video.
A major earthquake warning was issued for the time-frame 18-21 February because of very critical planetary geometry that converged between 16 and 19 February, as discussed in the warning video.
last updated 22 February, 2019, 11:07 UTC
A major earthquake measuring 7.7 magnitude occurred in the Peru-Ecuador border region on 22 February 2019 at 10:17 UTC. It is the first magnitude 7 earthquake since 29 December 2018.
A major earthquake warning was issued for the time-frame 18-21 February because of very critical planetary geometry that converged between 16 and 19 February, as discussed in the warning video.
last updated 29 December 2018, 7:51 UTC
A magnitude 6.9 to 7.0 earthquake occurred in Mindanao, Philippines on 29 December 2018 at 3:39 UTC. It is the 5th larger earthquake in just over four weeks. A quake watch was issued on the 27th and 28th because of critical planetary and lunar geometry as depicted by the SSGI chart.
last updated 20 December 2018, 19:35 UTC
A major 7.4 magnitude earthquake struck in the Komandorskiye Ostrova region on 20 December 2018 at 17:01 UTC. The tremor happened very early in the warning time-frame.
It is the second major earthquake in this region within one-and-a-half year; on July 17, 2017 a magnitude 7.7 earthquake struck in the same region.
last updated 20 December 2018, 09:13 UTC
A major earthquake measuring 7.0 on the moment magnitude scale rocked Southern Alaska on November 30th at 17:29 UTC. It is said to be one of the most violent earthquakes since the magnitude 9.2 of 1964. There were no reports of casualties but many roads and buildings were severely damaged.
An earthquake warning was issued on November 25 based on critical planetary geometry between the 27th and 29th.
last updated 22 December 2018, 16:16 UTC
A strong 6.8 magnitude earthquake occurred in the Ionian Sea on 25 October 2018. It is one of the strongest tremors in the region since 1953 when a similar strong earthquake occurred.
Based on critical planetary geometry a warning was issued for 24 to 27 October.
updated 22 October 2018, 13:53 UTC
Three strong tremors occurred just off the coast of Vancouver Island in the morning of 22 October. The largest measured 6.8 magnitude at 06:16 UTC.
Although larger seismic activity occurs occasionally, on the Juan de Fuca plate, three consecutive tremors are a clear indication that stress is building non-stop along the North american West coast, including California where the last large earthquake occurred 29 years ago.
Of major concern is the Cascadia subduction zone where some forty earthquakes over 8 magnitude occurred in the past ten thousand years, which averages out to a big one every 240 years. The last time a mega-thrust earthquake ruptured the fault line off the coast of Oregon and Washington state was almost 319 years ago, on 27 January 1700, when Earth aligned with Mercury and Jupiter while Mercury also aligned with the Sun and Venus.
A warning video was uploaded on October 21 that the last week of October would be critical.
updated 22 December 2018, 16:04 UTC
On 28 September 2018 a deadly 7.5 magnitude earthquake occurred in Sulawesi, Indonesia. Surprisingly, the major tremor triggered quite a powerful tsunami that caused a lot of damage and many fatalities in nearby coastal regions.
An earthquake warning was given based on critical planetary geometry from the 21st to the 27th. Early in the month it was stated that the first and last week of September would be critical.
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M 6.3
15 March 2019, 05:03 UTC
Central Bolivia
M 7.0
1 March 2019 , 8:50 UTC
Central Peru
M 8.3
19 August 2018, 00:19 UTC
Fiji Region
From February 2017 to June 2018, only 11 magnitude 7+ earthquakes occurred according to the EMSC. While statistically this is much lower than the average of 20 days, how well did we forecast them? Download the pdf file in order to find out if we reached our goal of 80%!
Since 1883 Krakatau has been remarkably regular with unusual or heightened activity. Historical data reveals a cycle of about 45 years and also half of that, about 22.5 years. In 2018-2019 we are at another cusp of 45 years.
Watch the video.
A major earthquake with magnitude 7.7 occurred in the Komandorskiye Ostrova Region on 17 July 2017. The powerful tremor occurred at 23:34 following a magnitude 6.2 in the same location earlier on the day. It is the first magnitude 7+ earthquake in 175 days. The previous one - a magnitude 7.9 - occurred on 22 January. On the 16th a forecast video was uploaded stating that a 6+ and possibly a 7+ magnitude earthquake was expected between the 16th and 18th of July.
A moderate to strong earthquake with magnitude 5.8 occurred in Montana on 6 July 2017 at 6:30 UTC. It is the first magnitude 5.6+ earthquake in the region since 1983. It follows a seismic increase that was observed in Yellowstone in June. Some notable signs of building pressure in the Northwestern part of the USA were observed on 26 and 27 June.
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