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Global Earthquake Forecast

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EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

updated 20 July 2021, 22:44 UTC

The last week of July (23-28) will be critical and seismic activity may reach magnitude 7.

For additional information, check out our Telegram channel and discussion group.

MAGNITUDE PROBABILITY

updated 23 July 2021, 11:30 UTC

M 6.0-6.4 M 6.5-6.9 M 7.0+
70% 70% 70%

SSGI graph 21-27 July 2021



EARTHQUAKE REPORTS

2021   2020   2019   2018   2017   2016   2015   2004   1995   1960   1906   1700   365


validity of earthquake forecasting

It is often stated that in order for an earthquake forecast to be valid it must define 3 elements: 1) the date and time, 2) the location, and 3) the magnitude. We believe that this requirement is unrealistic for the same reason that a weather forecast is allowed to say that even on the most shiny days there is a 0-10% or 30-40% precipitation PROBABILITY, without specifying the precise location. This has been valid scientific practice for decades.

Our focus is on earthquakes with approximately magnitude 6 and greater because earthquakes in this category tend to occur more often when planets reach specific positions in the solar system, which explains the usual clustering of these larger earthquakes in time. A good example is December 2016, which was seismically very active because of more critical planetary positions throughout the month, which allowed us to issue three warnings in advance.

While statistics say something about the average occurrence over long periods of time, they do not say anything about the actual occurrence in real time. If for example statistics say that a magnitude 6 earthquake occurs every 2.7 days on average, it does not mean that this is what usually happens. In extreme cases there can be 20 or even 25 days between magnitude 6 earthquakes. Likewise, the average can go up to less than 2 days over a period of several weeks. In addition, there is a big difference between magnitude 6.0 and 6.9, the latter of which occurs much less frequently. The same applies to magnitude 7 earthquakes. While on average they occur every 20-24 days, in reality we sometimes see two or three in a month, while in extreme cases there can be a drought of half a year or more, like in 2017, 2018 and 2019.

It is often stated that earthquakes happen all the time or that planetary alignments happen all the time. These kind of statements are too general. One should ask what kind of earthquakes, like magnitude 4, 5 or 6, which are very different categories, both in strength and occurrence. Likewise, one should carefully study the occurrence and type of planetary alignments. Sometimes there are no alignments for more than a week or even two weeks. Sometimes there are 12 or even 15 alignments in one month, as was the case in December 2016. Also, not all alignments are the same and their electromagnetic influence greatly depends on the planets involved.

Finally, it is often said that planets have little influence, as the distance between them is too great for the gravitational force to be of significance. While mathematics can be applied to prove that the gravitational force is indeed (too) weak, the logic behind this reasoning is flawed at the very root, because it does not explain why only the gravitational force between the planets should be considered. After all, of the four fundamental forces currently recognized in nature, gravity is the weakest and usually dominated by the electromagnetic force. In the 1940s, 50s and 60s RCA's radio engineer John H. Nelson proved through observation of short wave radio communication that planetary positions in the solar system greatly affect Earth's atmosphere. Of nearly 1,500 atmospheric condition forecasts that he made in 1967 he had an accuracy rate of 93.2%. His forecast methods, while seemingly forgotten, have not been refuted to date.

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Recent Earthquakes
M6+ by category:

Mw 6.7
23 July 2021, 20:48:58 UTC
Mindoro, Philippines
depth: 112 km

Mw 7.4
21 May 2021, 18:04:15 UTC
Qinghai, China
depth: 10 km

Mw 8.1
4 March 2021, 19:28:35 UTC
Kermadec Islands Region
depth: 24 km

The similarity between an electric generator with its carefully placed magnets and the sun with its ever-changing planets is intriguing. In the generator, the magnets are fixed and produce a constant electrical current. If we consider that the planets are magnets and the sun is the armature, we have a considerable similarity to the generator.
- John H. Nelson, RCA
What is SSGI

The Solar System Geometry Index (SSGI) is an indicator for anticipating large(r) seismic activity. See a brief explanation here. Examples of the SSGI and larger earthquakes are in the archives above.

New SSGI Model To Improve Earthquake Forecasting

A new model of the SSGI chart is introduced with version 5.0 of Solpage. Where some earthquakes in the past did not show critical planetary geometry, the new model is aimed at filling these gaps.

So far, the new model looks promising. It will be fine-tuned where necessary to achieve 85 to 90 percent accuracy with forecasting larger earthquakes.

Watch the demonstration video.

Krakatau's Remarkable 45 Years Cycle

Since 1883 Krakatau has been remarkably regular with unusual or heightened activity. Historical data reveals a cycle of about 45 years and also half of that, about 22.5 years. 2018-2019 marked one such cusp of 45 years.

Watch the video.

Clue to Earthquake Lightning Mystery

Mysterious lightning flashes that appear to precede earthquakes could be sparked by movements in the ground below, US scientists say.

Scientists took a tupperware container filled with flour, tipped it back and forth until cracks appeared and it produced 200 volts of charge. There isn't a mechanism that explains this. It seems new physics. If the same occurs along faultlines, it could generate millions of volts.

Full article

Growing Evidence Planetary Pressure Waves Trigger Earthquakes

A comprehensive 7 minutes video about planetary influences based on electromagnetic waves and radiation pressure, which is in line with what scientists have observed and measured shortly before larger earthquakes. Watch the video.

Earthquake Alarm

Impending earthquakes have been sending us warning signals — and people are starting to listen

Researchers in Taiwan monitored 144 earthquakes between 1997 and 1999, and they found that for those registering 6.0 and higher the electron content of the ionosphere changed significantly one to six days before the earthquakes.

[..] The connection between large earthquakes and electromagnetic phenomena in the ground and in the ionosphere is becoming increasingly solid. Researchers in many countries, including China, France, Greece, Italy, Japan, Taiwan, and the United States, are now contributing to the data by monitoring known earthquake zones. Read full article.

Earthquakes & Electromagnetic Waves

There appears to be a correlation between larger earthquakes - typically over 6 magnitude - and amplified electromagnetic waves in the Solar System.

This video explains in a simple way where these electromagnetic waves come from, when they are being amplified and how it also affects Earth's crust.

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